Why Being Delusional is a Superpower
9 人推荐 · 跨 9 个月 · 2020–2024
中文导读
Veritasium 科学博主通过数学模拟与直观案例剖析“运气”在人生成功中扮演的角色。视频展示了微小优势与偶然机遇如何呈指数级滚雪球，论证了拔尖结果往往极度依赖运气成分，但同时也并未否定努力本身的基石作用。
为什么 HN 推它
在涉及能力主义、职业发展和创业讨论时经常被引用的清醒剂，提醒大家正视运气在决定谁能登顶时的巨大力量。
「只要假设结果中仅有 5% 取决于运气，那么最终成绩最顶尖的那批人，也必然是运气最好的那批人。」HN 网友原话：if you attribute just 5% of outcomes to luck, then the people who have the best outcomes are among the luckiest people
英文原摘要（HackerTube / Claude 整理）
Veritasium examines the role of luck in success, with simulations and examples showing how small advantages and chance can compound. It argues that top outcomes are disproportionately luck-driven while still crediting effort.
Linked in threads about meritocracy, careers and startups as a reminder that luck shapes who ends up on top.
HN 上的提及
this is an interesting view
There is also a very good Veritasium Video about that
<- Veritasium on luck vs hard work
if you took 1.000 random people and ranked them by their overall success, the top ones would almost always be extremely lucky
Derek Muller has a couple of videos talking about the success of his Veritasium YouTube channel